The U

Jeremy Klavans

University of Miami

Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science

About me

I am a Research Scientist at the Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science at University of Miami trying to make better predictions of regional climate. To build these predictions, I experiment with climate models to better understand historical climate variability.

Selected publications

NAO Predictability Due to External Forcing begins to build the case that the signal-to-noise error at decadal timescales is related to an erroneously weak forced response in climate models.

News

An excellent story from Yale Climate Connections about the implications of Klavans et al. 2025 and Todd et al. 2025 on the future of drought in the western U.S.

NY Times story on our study of the SW US drought in the mid-holocene.

Press release for study on projections of Florida precipitation.

A very exciting 3rd thing!

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Donec gravida vehicula libero tristique vehicula. Integer id vestibulum leo. Maecenas id mauris ac ante vehicula efficitur sit amet id lorem. Cras feugiat ut tellus vel maximus.

Publications

peer reviewed publications

  1. Klavans, J. M., Pedro N. DiNezio, Amy C. Clement, Clara Deser, Timothy M. Shanahan, Mark A. Cane. Human emissions drive recent trends in North Pacific climate variations. Nature. 2025. doi:10.1038/s41586-025-09368-2.
  2. Todd, Victoria L., Timothy M. Shanahan, Pedro N. DiNezio, Jeremy M. Klavans, Peter J. Fawcett, R. Scott Anderson, Gonzalo Jiménez-Moreno, Allegra N. LeGrande, Francesco S.R. Pausata, Alexander J. Thompson, Jiang Zhu. “North Pacific response to hemispheric warming forces Holocene drought.” Nature Geosciences. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-025-01726-z
  3. Kay McMonigal, Sarah M. Larson, Melissa Gervais, Jeremy M. Klavans, Chengfei He, Mark A. Cane, Susanna Corti, Katinka Bellomo. “Fingerprints of AMOC Decline are Sensitive to External and Mechanistic Forcing.” GRL. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116307
  4. He, Chengfei, Amy C. Clement, Sydney M. Kramer, Mark A. Cane, Jeremy M. Klavans, Tyler M. Fenske, Lisa N. Murphy. “Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability is Dominated by External Forcing.” Nature. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06489-4
  5. Maher, Nicola, Robert C. Jnglin Wills, Pedro N. DiNezio, Jeremy M. Klavans, Sebastian Milinski, Sara C. Sanchez, Samantha Stevenson, Malte F. Steucker, and Xian Wu. “The future of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: Using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences.” Earth System Dynamics. 2022. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-413-2023
  6. He, Chengfei, Amy C. Clement, Mark A. Cane, Lisa N. Murphy, Jeremy M. Klavans, Tyler M. Fenske. “A North Atlantic warming hole without ocean circulation.” Geophysical Research Letters. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100420
  7. Klavans, Jeremy M., Amy C. Clement, Mark A. Cane, Lisa N. Murphy. “The Evolving Role of External Forcing in North Atlantic SST Variability Over the Last Millennium.” Journal of Climate. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0338.1
  8. Klavans, Jeremy M., Mark A. Cane, Amy C. Clement, Lisa N. Murphy. “NAO Predictability Due to External Forcing.” npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00177-8
  9. Murphy, Lisa N., Jeremy M. Klavans, Amy C. Clement, Mark A. Cane. “Investigating the Roles of External Forcing and Ocean Circulation on the Atlantic Multidecadal SST Variability in a Large Ensemble Climate Model Hierarchy.” Journal of Climate. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0167.1
  10. Waite, Amanda, Jeremy M. Klavans, Lisa N. Murphy, Amy C. Clement, Anton Eisenhauer, Volker Liebetrau, Peter K. Swart. “Observational and Model Evidence for an Important Role in Volcanic Forcing in Driving Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Over the Last 600 years.” Geophysical Research Letters. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089428
  11. Klavans, Jeremy M., Amy C. Clement, Lisa N. Murphy, Honghai Zhang. “Identifying the Externally-forced Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Signal through Florida Rainfall.” Geophysical Research Letters. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088361
  12. Klavans, Jeremy M., Amy C. Clement, and Mark A. Cane. “Variable External Forcing Obscures the Weak Relationship between the NAO and North Atlantic Multidecadal SST Variability.” Journal of Climate. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0409.1
  13. Klavans, Jeremy M., Andrew Poppick, Shanshan Sun, and Elisabeth J. Moyer. “The Influence of Model Resolution on Temperature Variability.” Climate Dynamics. 2016. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3249-6.
CV
updated 2025
Contact

jklavans@rsmas.miami.edu

LinkedIn

Google Scholar

ORCID